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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <50 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 75-99 | 0% | −49 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-74 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100-124 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125-149 | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150-174 | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 175-199 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 200+ | 0% | −40 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 790d | professorx8 fills | <50 | BuyYes>99¢ | $83,128 | +$85 +0.1% | 20 |
| 790d | professorx9 fills | 50-74 | BuyNo>99¢ | $70,981 | +$71 +0.1% | 20 |
| 790d | <50 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,182 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 790d | 50-74 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,982 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 790d | <50 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,569 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 790d | 50-74 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,387 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 791d | <50 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 794d | Evo-690 | 75-99 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,454 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 794d | Scented-Proof | <50 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$130 −7.8% | — |
| 794d | Breezy-Entrance | 200+ | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,909 | +$91 +3.1% | 20 |
This is a market over how many times "Trump" will be said at the DNC today.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <50 means the market gives it about 100%.