Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −23 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563d | AreWeNotEntertained | Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,443 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 563d | Jaded-AirmailNew account | Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$32 −2.9% | — |
| 563d | NX143 | Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | −$25 −1.8% | — |
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU) scheduled to go into effect on April 9, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT. See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces a pause, delay, or removal of country-specific reciprocal tariffs on any country by April 9, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any announcement within this market's time frame will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.