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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-7 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8-10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11-13 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 14-16 | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 17-19 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-22 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 23-25 | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619d |  AgricultureSecretary | 25+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,677 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 619d | AgricultureSecretary | 23-25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,127 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 619d | 0xqwerty | 23-25 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$107 +9.9% | 22 |
| 619d |  Ytytrg | 20-22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,880 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 619d | Freepumba | 20-22 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$19 +1.8% | 20 |
| 620d | AgricultureSecretary | 14-16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,177 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 621d | AgricultureSecretary | 11-13 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,636 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 621d | AgricultureSecretary | 8-10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,591 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 622d | AgricultureSecretary | 5-7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,298 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 622d | wwe112 | 23-25 | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $5,500 | +$5,500 +100% | — |
| 623d | tuiun | 23-25 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $45,000 | +$5,000 +11% | 21 |
| 623d | wwe112 | 20-22 | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $7,560 | +$7,560 +100% | — |
| 623d | tuiun | 20-22 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $46,440 | +$7,560 +16% | 21 |
| 623d | AgricultureSecretary | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25+ means the market gives it about 100%.