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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-19 | 100% | +46 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <5 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5-7 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8-10 | 0% | −27 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 11-13 | 0% | −64 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 14-16 | 0% | −24 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-22 | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 23-25 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >25 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 624d | Monster24 | 23-25 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,900 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 625d | 0xqwerty2 fills | 11-13 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,558 | +$110 +3.1% | 21 |
| 625d |  AgricultureSecretary | 8-10 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,390 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 625d | whfbjwh | 8-10 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 627d | AgricultureSecretary | <5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,674 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 627d | 0xqwerty | <5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
gore47 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 17-19 means the market gives it about 100%.