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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 818d | route | Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,103 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 818d |  kdubhotsauce2 fills | Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,235 | +$37 +1.2% | 2 |
| 818d |  LBZcapital | Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 822d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente3 fills | Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,145 | +$133 +3.2% | 2 |
| 827d | polywannacracker | Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,984 | +$492 +4.9% | 2 |
| 829d |  MarekyMarek | Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,490 | −$259 −4.7% | — |
| 829d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Trump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,986 | −$213 −4.3% | — |
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin Conference at 19:00 UTC for 30 minutes on the last day of the conference, which runs from July 25-27. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the word(s) "mog", "mogs", "mogged" and/or "mogging" at the Bitcoin Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. If the conference ends and Trump does not appear, or if Trump's appearance is definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be Trump's appearance during the conference and/or any official transcript, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.