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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 577d | Retired-Davis | Trump says US will join Commonwealth before May? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$84 +5.4% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes an official public announcement stating that the US will join the Commonwealth of Nations by April 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must be made through an official channel such as a press release, presidential address, or verified White House communication. Casual remarks, offhand comments, or speculative answers during interviews do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government information and statements from Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.