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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 546d |  wowfarm | Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 558d |  Justitia | Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,625 | −$28 −1.7% | — |
| 563d | keribit2 fills | Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | +$73 +2.0% | 4 |
| 574d | Justitia3 fills | Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,017 | +$264 +3.8% | 4 |
| 588d |  FadingLight2 fills | Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $21,536 | +$584 +2.7% | 4 |
| 595d | diminish | Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,076 | −$104 −2.6% | — |
| 595d | diminish2 fills | Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,865 | +$270 +2.5% | 4 |
burlo390 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US officially announces that it has suspended diplomatic relations with Ukraine by 11:59 PM ET on April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.