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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500d |  DirkDiggler67 | Trump signs bill cutting Medicare before July? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,565 | +$186 +12% | 4 |
| 504d | DirkDiggler67 | Trump signs bill cutting Medicare before July? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$159 −14% | — |
| 574d | Therionis | Trump signs bill cutting Medicare before July? | SellYes22¢ → 0¢ | $8,043 | +$8,043 +100% | — |
| 574d | Lysoria | Trump signs bill cutting Medicare before July? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $28,517 | +$8,043 +28% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that includes a reduction in Medicare funding or eligibility is passed by both the US House of Representatives and Senate and signed into law by the Donald Trump by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction in Medicare refers to a decrease in federal funding or a significant reduction in benefits, as widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Temporary or minor administrative changes will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.