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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that includes a reduction in Social Security funding or eligibility is passed by both the US House of Representatives and Senate and signed into law by the Donald Trump by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction in Social Security refers to a decrease in federal funding or a significant reduction in benefits, as widely reported by a consensus of credible reporting. Temporary or minor administrative changes will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.