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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 828d | professorx2 fills | Trump speaks on RNC Day 3? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,062 | +$36 +0.5% | 4 |
| 828d |  Car | Trump speaks on RNC Day 3? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | −$247 −10% | — |
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 3 (July 17 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. He must speak while physically present on the stage for this market to resolve to "Yes". Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.