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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365d |  AgricultureSecretary | Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,446 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 365d |  duderr | Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,334 | +$27 +0.8% | 20 |
| 365d |  .jeet | Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 365d | 0x45ec…a434 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$30 −2.6% | — |
| 365d | Michael5289 | Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | +$17 +1.0% | 20 |
| 365d |  Car | Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$170 +9.3% | 21 |
FabulousCar713 shares
Legend-150 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the North Western hemisphere between October 22, 2025, 6:00 PM ET, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.