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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 829d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Trump speaks on RNC Day 1? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,116 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 830d | bubb-533 | Trump speaks on RNC Day 1? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 830d |  ErrantSloth | Trump speaks on RNC Day 1? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 830d |  imp | Trump speaks on RNC Day 1? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$52 +4.7% | 4 |
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 1 (July 15 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. A live speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.