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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 835d |  elmcap2 | Trump to speak at Bitcoin 2024 conference? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,613 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
On June 24, X account @WatcherGuru posted that Donald Trump is in talks to speak at Bitcoin 2024, currently scheduled for July 25-27. You can see that post here: https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1805308397904085421 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Donald Trump will attend Bitcoin 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the first announcement made on whether Trump will or will not attend the conference. If no announcement is made either way by the beginning of the conference, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is necessary only that an announcement be made by Donald Trump, Bitcoin 2024, and/or the named's official representatives that Donald Trump will be in attendance. If he later cancels or does not attend, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be announcements by Donald Trump, Bitcoin 2024, and/or the named's official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.