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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump signs an executive order | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump says "Bigly" | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump dances | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump talks to Keir Starmer | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump wears a yellow tie | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181d | 0xzipper | Trump signs an executive order | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,885 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 181d | Michael5289 | Trump signs an executive order | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 181d | Palace8709 | Trump signs an executive order | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 181d | Trump says "Bigly" | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 181d | Trump dances | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,862 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 183d | Trump says "Bigly" | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,109 | +$96 +3.1% | 21 |
This is a market over what Donald Trump will do on April 24.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Trump signs an executive order means the market gives it about 0%.