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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump says "Hottest" | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump signs an executive order | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump talks to Vladimir Putin | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump dances | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump wears a blue tie | 100% | +81 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180d | polybettor | Trump says "Hottest" | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 180d | HornyBibi | Trump says "Hottest" | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$102 +8.4% | 20 |
This is a market over what Donald Trump will do on the listed date, 2026, ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump says "Hottest" means the market gives it about 100%.