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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 539d | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $20,822 | −$21 −0.1% | — | |
| 539d | MAGA.MUSK3 fills | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $41,263 | −$41 −0.1% | — |
| 540d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 540d | MAGA.MUSK | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,264 | +$40 +0.1% | 20 |
| 540d | jwacky2324 | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,630 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 540d | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,226 | −$6 −0.2% | — | |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,448 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 541d | oneday1 | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,219 | −$152 −0.9% | — |
| 541d | FoldingNuts272 | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,561 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 541d | asdalkjfa | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,190 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,653 | −$5 −0.3% | — | |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | −$12 −0.8% | — | |
| 541d | SaylorMoon | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $2,978 | −$2,978 −100% | 20 |
| 541d | Generator3 fills | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo26¢ → 100¢ | $7,437 | +$21,014 +283% | 29 |
| 541d | krnb | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,817 | −$1,817 −100% | 20 |
| 541d | Willie555 | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 20 |
| 541d | motionz2 fills | Trump trade deal in April? | SellYes79¢ → 0¢ | $6,473 | +$6,473 +100% | — |
| 541d | Logan. | Trump trade deal in April? | SellYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,232 | +$1,232 +100% | — |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 20 | |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $14,034 | −$14,034 −100% | 20 | |
| 541d | oneday1 | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo25¢ → 100¢ | $1,884 | +$5,671 +301% | 23 |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $2,444 | −$2,444 −100% | 20 | |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $13,130 | −$13,130 −100% | 20 | |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$399 +36% | 20 | |
| 541d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$56 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 554d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $2,522 | +$2,817 +112% | 20 | |
| 554d | Trump trade deal in April? | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,690 | −$1,690 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between April 14 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.