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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912d | Trump violates gag order? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | −$150 −11% | — | |
| 913d | anonim | Trump violates gag order? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 5 |
| 919d | Trump violates gag order? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$128 +11% | 4 | |
| 931d | Trump violates gag order? | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,268 | −$1,268 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the presiding judge in "THE PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF NEW YORK -against- DONALD J. TRUMP" explicitly states that Donald Trump has violated the gag order imposed on him by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the gag order is lifted at any point before this market's expiration date and Donald Trump has not violated it, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.