Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics | BuyBiden91¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$110 +9.3% | 4 |
| 817d | TradeDeficitArchitect | Trump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics | BuyTrump73¢ → 0¢ | $1,007 | −$1,007 −100% | 4 |
This market is on whether Joe Biden or Donald Trump will walk up the stairs to board a plane faster, based on the next made video recording of each boarding a plane after July 25, 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is observed walking up the stairs to board a plane faster than Joe Biden, and "Biden" if Joe Biden completes this action faster than Trump. The time it takes them to ascend the airplane stairs will be measured from when they make contact with the first step, to when they reach the top of the stairs with both feet down. This market is based on the next recorded instance of each boarding a plane and will resolve once there is video of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump performing this action. If no relevant video of both Trump and Biden is released by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, it will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be video of each of them boarding a plane.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.