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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 2-2.4 | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.4 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.5-0.9 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5-2.9 | 0% | −7 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3-3.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.5+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750d | aviato | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 12 |
| 750d |  EdgyUsername | Harris by 2-2.4 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$97 −8.7% | — |
| 750d | Frozencomet | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$104 +8.7% | 12 |
| 750d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Harris by 3.5+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,375 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 750d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,354 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 751d |  MrNFT2 fills | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,952 | +$88 +2.2% | 10 |
| 752d | PrinceHal | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$95 −7.2% | — |
| 752d | PrinceHal | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 15 |
| 755d | rom7eo | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$107 +5.6% | 10 |
| 759d | J.V. | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 10 |
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris next Friday.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 2-2.4 means the market gives it about 100%.