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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 2-2.4 | 100% | +19 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.5-0.9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.4 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5-2.9 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3+ | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 756d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,058 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 756d |  EdgyUsername | Harris by 2-2.4 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 756d |  sigh | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,871 | +$29 +1.0% | 10 |
| 756d | sigh | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | +$31 +1.0% | 10 |
| 756d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,792 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 756d | gemstone | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | +$153 +11% | 13 |
| 756d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 757d | gemstone | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$162 +12% | 13 |
| 757d | acentignar | Harris by 2.5-2.9 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,941 | +$57 +1.9% | 11 |
| 757d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 3+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,165 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 757d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,375 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 757d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,071 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 757d |  Hannah-Montana | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$74 +1.2% | 10 |
| 758d |  sorcerer.02 | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,829 | −$26 −0.9% | — |
| 759d |  UncleSmurf3 fills | Harris by 2.5-2.9 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $5,163 | +$908 +18% | 12 |
| 759d | PrinceHal | Harris by 3+ | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | −$48 −3.1% | — |
| 759d | PrinceHal | Harris by 3+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$30 +2.0% | 10 |
| 759d | sorcerer.02 | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,308 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 759d | sorcerer.02 | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,191 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 759d | Hannah-Montana | Harris by 3+ | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$93 +4.7% | 10 |
| 760d | Champ | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,112 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 760d | Champ | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,550 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 760d | Worthwhile-Clarification | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$67 +3.4% | 11 |
| 760d | Worthwhile-Clarification | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,041 | +$7 +0.4% | 10 |
| 760d | Worthwhile-Clarification | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,557 | +$11 +0.7% | 10 |
| 760d | aviato | Trump lead | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,483 | +$17 +0.7% | 10 |
| 760d | aviato | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$13 +1.0% | 10 |
| 761d |  bulborb | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,173 | +$81 +3.7% | 10 |
| 761d | rom7eo | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$62 +4.3% | 10 |
| 761d | UncleSmurf2 fills | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | +$546 +19% | 11 |
| 761d | UncleSmurf3 fills | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,420 | +$350 +5.5% | 10 |
| 761d | MalikNabers | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$89 +6.2% | 10 |
| 764d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$46 −3.1% | — |
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris next Friday.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 2-2.4 means the market gives it about 100%.