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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 100% | +24 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.5-0.9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2-2.4 | 0% | −17 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5-2.9 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3-3.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.5+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742d | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,712 | −$18 −0.5% | — | |
| 742d | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $31,877 | +$32 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 742d | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $73,600 | +$148 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 742d | Worthwhile-Clarification | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $65,983 | +$132 +0.2% | 10 |
| 742d | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,012 | +$90 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 742d | Harris by 3-3.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 742d | aviato3 fills | Trump lead | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,867 | +$72 +1.2% | 10 |
| 742d | hereismauli2 fills | Harris by 3.5+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,116 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 742d | hereismauli2 fills | Harris by 3.5+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 742d | hereismauli2 fills | Harris by 3-3.4 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,118 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 742d | hereismauli2 fills | Harris by 3-3.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,120 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 743d | MalikNabers | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,238 | +$746 +33% | 17 |
| 743d | SaulG | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$443 +33% | 17 |
| 744d | Trump lead | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,055 | +$13 +0.6% | 10 | |
| 746d | skysunny | Harris by 3.5+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,156 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 746d | skysunny | Harris by 3.5+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 753d | acentignar | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | −$105 −9.9% | — |
| 753d | acentignar | Harris by 3.5+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$153 +9.6% | 10 |
| 753d | acentignar | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,628 | +$157 +9.6% | 10 |
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris next Friday.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 1.5-1.9 means the market gives it about 100%.