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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 100% | +28 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.4 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.5-0.9 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2-2.4 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5-2.9 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3-3.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.5+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735d |  EdgyUsername | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,363 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 735d | Lman | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,201 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 735d | oceimwc | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,046 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 736d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,417 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d | gemstone | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,613 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 736d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,022 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,508 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d |  AgricultureSecretary | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 736d | Alder | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,017 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d |  Dr.Awkcab | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | +$31 +2.0% | 10 |
| 736d | aviato | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 10 |
| 736d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Harris by 3-3.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,250 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d | 456ythgbvcadscvb | Harris by 3.5+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,225 | +$25 +0.1% | 10 |
| 736d | aviato | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$89 +8.0% | 12 |
| 736d | gemstone | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$155 +13% | 13 |
| 736d |  MrNFT | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,700 | +$14 +0.5% | 10 |
| 736d | 456ythgbvcadscvb4 fills | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,088 | +$71 +0.2% | 10 |
| 736d | Worthwhile-Clarification4 fills | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,284 | +$130 +0.4% | 10 |
| 737d | Ten-566 | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$59 +3.0% | 10 |
| 738d | PrinceHal | Trump lead | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 738d | PrinceHal | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | −$105 −6.6% | — |
| 738d | PrinceHal | Trump lead | BuyNo100¢ | $1,692 | +$9 +0.5% | 10 |
| 738d | PrinceHal | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$65 +4.0% | 11 |
| 738d |  AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | +$1,058 +100% | — |
| 739d | J.V. | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,461 | −$1,461 −100% | 15 |
| 739d | J.V. | Harris by 2-2.4 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | −$156 −6.1% | — |
| 739d |  meowinglion | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$86 +4.9% | 11 |
| 739d |  sorcerer.02 | Trump lead | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$13 +1.1% | 10 |
| 739d | J.V. | Harris by 0-0.4 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 740d | Sassd | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,575 | +$1,575 +100% | — |
| 740d | Sassd | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,575 | −$1,575 −100% | 12 |
| 742d |  qsalz | Harris by 2.5-2.9 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,167 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 743d | J.V. | Trump lead | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | −$37 −2.5% | — |
| 746d | aviato | Trump lead | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | +$54 +3.3% | 10 |
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris for next Friday's election results.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 1.5-1.9 means the market gives it about 100%.