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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 0-0.4 | 100% | +53 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.5-0.9 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2-2.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5-2.9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3-3.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.5+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728d |  sigh3 fills | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,180 | +$117 +0.8% | 10 |
| 728d |  Car | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 728d | Alder2 fills | Harris by 0-0.4 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,318 | +$62 +1.4% | 10 |
| 729d | pisaka32 | Trump lead | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 20 |
| 729d |  Dr.Awkcab | Trump lead | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,157 | +$1,157 +100% | — |
| 729d | Dr.Awkcab2 fills | Trump lead | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,512 | −$2,512 −100% | 20 |
| 729d | Dr.Awkcab | Harris by 0-0.4 | SellYes22¢ → 100¢ | $1,596 | −$5,552 −348% | — |
| 729d |  EdgyUsername | Trump lead | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,037 | −$1,037 −100% | 20 |
| 729d | EdgyUsername2 fills | Harris by 0-0.4 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,830 | −$1,570 −55% | — |
| 729d | Dr.Awkcab | Harris by 2-2.4 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,586 | −$31 −1.2% | — |
| 729d | J.V. | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellNo100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 729d | Dr.Awkcab | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$138 +9.9% | 12 |
| 730d | nAKT | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | +$1,680 +100% | — |
| 730d | kSJTTSAA | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,793 | +$1,656 +92% | 15 |
| 731d | Kslttt | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,634 | +$1,634 +100% | — |
| 731d | Ksjttt2 fills | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | +$1,677 +75% | 15 |
| 731d | ksktta22 | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$817 +75% | 15 |
| 731d | ksktta22 | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,634 | +$1,634 +100% | — |
| 731d | Kslttt | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | +$774 +75% | 15 |
| 731d | Nant | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$903 +75% | 15 |
| 731d | sktkkt | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$946 +75% | 15 |
| 731d | Kdgdsf | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$750 +43% | 15 |
| 731d | Kdgdsf | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 731d | Adgrd | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$585 +43% | 15 |
| 731d | Fhgjfh | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$615 +43% | 15 |
| 731d | Kdgdsf | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,708 | +$1,342 +79% | 15 |
| 731d | Kdgdsf | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,806 | +$1,806 +100% | — |
| 731d | Adgrd | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$946 +75% | 15 |
| 731d | Fhgjfh | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 15 |
| 734d | Wghjgff | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 734d | Wghjgff | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 12 |
| 734d | Wghjgff | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | −$1,230 −69% | — |
| 734d | Wghjgff | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,830 | +$1,170 +64% | 12 |
| 734d | Adfdf | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$800 −67% | — |
| 734d | Dfhgj | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | −$1,000 −67% | — |
| 734d | Adfdf | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 12 |
| 734d | Dfhgj | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$975 +64% | 12 |
| 734d | ADsdfhd | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$800 −67% | — |
| 734d | Dfhyrfkj | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$800 −67% | — |
| 734d | ADsdfhd | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 12 |
| 734d | Dfhyrfkj | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 12 |
| 734d |  redbloodzcell | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$64 +4.2% | 10 |
| 735d | Mksht | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$1,140 +67% | 12 |
| 735d | Mksht | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 736d | Srgtrf | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 10 |
| 736d | Hghjyt | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$934 +64% | 10 |
| 736d | Sfgfg | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$819 +64% | 10 |
| 736d | FGfghfdg | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 10 |
| 736d | Plush-ManateeNew account | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$663 +64% | 10 |
| 737d | Qftghyf | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,232 | +$968 +79% | 10 |
| 737d | Wghjghjg | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$924 +79% | 10 |
| 737d | Pghbvc | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | +$1,012 +100% | — |
| 737d | Xfgfhj | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$1,012 +79% | 10 |
| 737d | Pghbvc | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 10 |
| 737d | Ffgfdg | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 10 |
| 737d | Atuhyju | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$860 +75% | 10 |
| 737d | Qdesfgds | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$946 +75% | 10 |
| 737d | Wsdsbf | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$903 +75% | 10 |
| 737d | Dkjkw | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | −$1,125 −82% | — |
| 737d | Dkjkw | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$1,075 +75% | 10 |
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris next Friday.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 0-0.4 means the market gives it about 100%.