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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 100% | +35 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.9 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2-2.4 | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5-2.9 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3+ | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 771d | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,412 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 771d | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 771d | professorx | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 771d | Alder2 fills | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,569 | +$9 +0.3% | 10 |
| 771d | Qtyu | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,770 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 771d | Worthwhile-ClarificationNew account | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $28,219 | +$1,217 +4.3% | 10 |
| 771d | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,249 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 771d | Worthwhile-ClarificationNew account | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | +$19 +1.1% | 10 |
| 771d | kingfisher | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $11,846 | +$892 +7.5% | 10 |
| 771d | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $11,160 | +$840 +7.5% | 10 | |
| 771d | aviato | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 10 |
| 771d | aviato | Trump lead | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 771d | MalikNabers | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,906 | +$294 +7.5% | 10 |
| 771d | MalikNabers2 fills | Trump lead | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,284 | −$143 −1.7% | — |
| 771d | IndoMania10 | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$53 +3.5% | 11 |
| 771d | aviato | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$110 +5.8% | 11 |
| 771d | BigFatO5 fills | Harris by 3+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $71,631 | +$114 +0.2% | 10 |
| 771d | BigFatO | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$88 +7.4% | 12 |
| 771d | BigFatO2 fills | Trump lead | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,899 | +$8 +0.2% | 10 |
| 771d | rumtumtugger | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$512 +20% | 14 |
| 772d | Worthwhile-ClarificationNew account | Harris by 3+ | BuyNo100¢ | $8,990 | +$45 +0.5% | 10 |
| 772d | BigFatO | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$368 +32% | 16 |
| 772d | gemstone2 fills | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,667 | +$1,318 +36% | 17 |
| 772d | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,770 | +$1,770 +100% | — | |
| 772d | BigFatO2 fills | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,627 | +$570 +5.9% | 11 |
| 772d | ekimika3 fills | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $6,673 | +$4,038 +61% | 18 |
| 772d | ekimika | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes36¢ → 0¢ | $2,875 | +$2,875 +100% | — |
| 772d | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | +$1,088 +100% | — | |
| 772d | Harris by 2.5-2.9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,045 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 772d | sdiff123 | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,903 | +$1,903 +100% | — |
| 772d | J.V. | Trump lead | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,977 | −$36 −0.7% | — |
| 772d | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$17 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 772d | ekimika | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 16 |
| 772d | Qtyu8 fills | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $25,338 | +$598 +2.4% | 10 |
| 772d | Qtyu3 fills | Trump lead | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,712 | +$88 +1.5% | 10 |
| 772d | Qtyu | Harris by 2-2.4 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,154 | −$90 −4.2% | — |
| 772d | Trump lead | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | −$92 −1.9% | — | |
| 773d | J.V. | Harris by 2.5-2.9 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,192 | −$27 −0.8% | — |
| 773d | Isaak👴 | Trump lead | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$22 +1.1% | 10 |
| 773d | Trump lead | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$21 +2.1% | 10 | |
| 773d | Trump2032-365 | Trump lead | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,492 | +$154 +1.6% | 10 |
| 774d | aviato2 fills | Trump lead | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,258 | +$142 +2.7% | 10 |
| 774d | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,575 | −$1,575 −100% | 12 | |
| 776d | sdiff123 | Harris by 2.5-2.9 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | +$83 +3.2% | 10 |
| 776d | sdiff123 | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$576 +37% | 12 |
| 776d | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | −$630 −21% | — | |
| 777d | rom7eo | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$44 +3.4% | 10 |
| 777d | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,470 | +$612 +18% | 11 | |
| 777d | gemstone | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,352 | +$150 +6.4% | 10 |
| 777d | Trump lead | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$32 +3.1% | 10 |
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris on September 6.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 1.5-1.9 means the market gives it about 100%.