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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 1.6-2.0 | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump by 0.5+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 0-0.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.1-0.5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.6-1.0 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.1-1.5 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.1-2.5 | 0% | −22 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by >2.5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 763d | HsB34sgg | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,442 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 763d | Far-Off-Erosion | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,134 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 763d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,434 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 763d | Trump2032-3652 fills | Harris by 1.1-1.5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,596 | +$22 +0.3% | 10 |
| 763d | Trump2032-365 | Harris by >2.5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,537 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 763d | Far-Off-Erosion | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$132 +13% | 10 |
| 764d |  UncleSmurf | Harris by 1.1-1.5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 764d | Worthwhile-ClarificationNew account | Harris by >2.5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,359 | +$14 +0.3% | 10 |
| 764d | Champ | Harris by 0.6-1.0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,999 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 764d | Champ | Harris by 0.1-0.5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,023 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 764d | Worthwhile-ClarificationNew account | Harris by 0.6-1.0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,644 | +$48 +0.9% | 10 |
| 764d |  EdgyUsername | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,333 | +$467 +35% | 17 |
| 764d |  cashmoney369 | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$497 +38% | 17 |
| 764d | MalikNabers | Harris by 2.1-2.5 | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,810 | −$1,810 −100% | 18 |
| 764d | MalikNabers | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | SellYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$2,478 −215% | — |
| 764d |  nnimrodd | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$509 +39% | 18 |
| 765d |  MEGABASED2 | Harris by 1.1-1.5 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,265 | −$37 −1.6% | — |
| 765d | GigiPirri | Harris by >2.5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$54 +5.3% | 11 |
| 765d | sdiff123 | Harris by >2.5 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$46 −4.2% | — |
| 765d | Ten-566 | Harris by 1.1-1.5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 10 |
| 765d | Trump2032-365 | Trump by 0-0.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,834 | +$34 +0.1% | 10 |
| 765d | Trump2032-3652 fills | Harris by 0.1-0.5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,802 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 765d | Trump2032-3652 fills | Harris by 0.6-1.0 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,115 | +$20 +0.4% | 10 |
| 765d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 0.6-1.0 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,352 | +$25 +0.6% | 10 |
| 765d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 0.1-0.5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 765d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Trump by 0.5+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,952 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 766d |  MEGABASED | Harris by 2.1-2.5 | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,158 | +$1,158 +100% | — |
| 766d | PrinceHal | Harris by >2.5 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$87 −6.4% | — |
| 768d | MalikNabers | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,246 | +$1,246 +100% | — |
| 769d | MEGABASED2 | Harris by 1.1-1.5 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$92 +7.8% | 10 |
| 769d | PrinceHal | Trump by 0.5+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 769d | MalikNabers | Harris by 1.6-2.0 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | −$1,047 −100% | 12 |
| 769d | Worthwhile-ClarificationNew account | Harris by 0.1-0.5 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,962 | +$49 +1.2% | 11 |
| 769d | Worthwhile-ClarificationNew account | Harris by 1.1-1.5 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$361 +7.5% | 14 |
| 770d | MalikNabers | Harris by 0.6-1.0 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,676 | +$88 +5.3% | 10 |
| 770d | PrinceHal | Trump by 0.5+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 771d | sdiff123 | Harris by 2.1-2.5 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$382 +30% | 10 |
This is a market on the polling margin between Trump and Harris for the upcoming Friday.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 1.6-2.0 means the market gives it about 100%.