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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 100% | +17 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0.5-0.9 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2+ | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 2+ | BuyNo100¢ | $1,322 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 791d | J.V. | Trump lead | SellNo100¢ | $1,090 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 791d | J.V. | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo100¢ | $2,388 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 791d |  sigh | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$67 +5.3% | 10 |
| 791d | aviato | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$103 +5.4% | 10 |
| 791d | aviato | Harris by 2+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 10 |
| 791d | gemstone2 fills | Harris by 2+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,490 | +$198 +5.7% | 11 |
| 792d | J.V. | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 792d | J.V. | Harris by 2+ | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$80 +5.3% | 11 |
| 794d | J.V. | Harris by 0-0.4 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 794d | Munners | Harris by 0.5-0.9 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$14 +1.1% | 10 |
| 796d | Evo-690 | Harris by 2+ | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | −$435 −32% | — |
| 796d |  Figoo57 | Harris by 2+ | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $6,652 | −$6,652 −100% | 12 |
| 796d |  PaeniscusBit | Trump lead | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 797d | Munners | Trump lead | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,955 | +$45 +2.3% | 10 |
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 23?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 1.5-1.9 means the market gives it about 100%.