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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris by 1.5-1.9 | 100% | +20 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump lead | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-0.9 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1-1.4 | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2-2.4 | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.5+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 784d |  Chen1996 | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,604 | −$21 −0.8% | — |
| 784d | professorx2 fills | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,088 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 784d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 784d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,651 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 784d |  AgricultureSecretary | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 784d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 784d | aviato | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,091 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 784d | gemstone | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
| 785d | lug | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,209 | +$657 +20% | 15 |
| 785d | gemstone | Harris by 2-2.4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,061 | +$377 +5.3% | 11 |
| 785d | MalikNabers2 fills | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,251 | +$172 +5.3% | 11 |
| 785d | lug | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | +$312 +12% | 13 |
| 785d |  Codger | Harris by 1-1.4 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$100 −9.1% | — |
| 785d | aaabbb | Harris by 1.5-1.9 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 14 |
| 785d | Champ | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,998 | +$75 +0.7% | 10 |
| 785d | Plutos | Trump lead | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 785d | MalikNabers | Harris by 2.5+ | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $4,008 | +$1,066 +27% | 16 |
| 785d | L114 | Harris by 0-0.9 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | −$64 −2.2% | — |
| 786d |  456ythgbvcadscvb4 fills | Trump lead | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,384 | +$132 +2.1% | 10 |
| 787d | Plutos | Trump lead | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$22 +2.0% | 10 |
| 788d | Hhkcg | Trump lead | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,961 | +$52 +2.7% | 10 |
| 788d | L114 | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,542 | +$443 +3.0% | 10 |
| 788d | aaabbb | Harris by 2.5+ | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | −$400 −25% | — |
| 788d | aaabbb | Harris by 2.5+ | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$282 +21% | 11 |
| 789d | Distinct-Squirrel | Harris by 2.5+ | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$452 +23% | 11 |
| 789d | Munners | Trump lead | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$21 −1.8% | — |
| 791d | J.V. | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 11 |
| 791d | J.V. | Harris by 0-0.9 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,975 | +$172 +8.7% | 11 |
| 791d | J.V. | Trump lead | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$75 +4.2% | 10 |
| 791d |  spacebike | Harris by 1-1.4 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$513 +17% | 11 |
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Harris by 1.5-1.9 means the market gives it about 100%.