Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +86 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483d | rwo2 fills | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,052 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 483d | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,468 | −$2,468 −100% | 4 | |
| 483d | ro0k | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,648 | +$4,145 +157% | 11 |
| 483d | PaidBettor | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$539 +54% | 9 |
| 483d | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $5,405 | +$6,647 +123% | 11 | |
| 483d | PaidBettor | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,170 | −$1,170 −100% | 9 |
| 521d | goyard | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | SellNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,082 | +$1,082 +100% | — |
Shortly after the enactment of the "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship" executive order, a judge issued a temporary block preventing it from going into effect. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-judge-hear-states-bid-block-trump-birthright-citizenship-order-2025-01-23/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the block on the portion of this executive order that curtails automatic birthright citizenship is lifted by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.