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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,014 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 636d |  MotherTheresa | Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$143 +6.4% | 4 |
Shortly after the enactment of the "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship" executive order, a judge issued a temporary block preventing it from going into effect. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-judge-hear-states-bid-block-trump-birthright-citizenship-order-2025-01-23/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the block on the portion of this executive order that curtails automatic birthright citizenship is lifted by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.