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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70–75% | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60% | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60–65% | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 65–70% | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75%+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205d | 65–70% | SellNo>99¢ | $12,162 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 205d | 70–75% | SellYes>99¢ | $11,560 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 206d | 65–70% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | +$78 +3.7% | 10 | |
| 206d | 70–75% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,051 | +$152 +5.0% | 10 | |
| 220d | SaraBerry8704 | 70–75% | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 11 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 70–75% means the market gives it about 100%.