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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84-86% | 100% | — | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <82% | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82-84% | 0% | — | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86-88% | 0% | — | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88-90% | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90%+ | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312d |  Obamnna3 fills | 84-86% | SellYes>99¢ | $10,254 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | Obamnna | 86-88% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,117 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 313d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | 82-84% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,410 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 314d | FlyingPlaty | 84-86% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,141 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 314d | FlyingPlaty | 90%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,447 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 314d | FlyingPlaty | 88-90% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,857 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 314d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | 86-88% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,993 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 314d |  Leonid-Sport | 86-88% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | +$7 +0.5% | 10 |
| 314d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | <82% | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,491 | +$21 +0.3% | 10 |
| 314d | Leonid-Sport | <82% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,094 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 314d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | 88-90% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,825 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 314d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | 90%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,725 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 314d | Obamnna | 86-88% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$60 +5.9% | 10 |
A second-round presidential election is scheduled to be held in Chile on December 14, 2025. This market will resolve according to the second-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votación” divided by “Total inscritos.” If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 84-86% means the market gives it about 100%.