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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Germany vs. Luxembourg) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378d | FixCuanMagnet | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $20,812 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | Luisfero16 | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $3,318 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | nbab | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,084 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | CrazyNine | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $4,904 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | jjay7777 | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | Matelleti | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $4,269 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  -AL-4 fills | Germany | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $17,090 | −$669 −3.9% | — |
| 378d | kosmichesky | Germany | SellYes>99¢ | $1,043 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | 0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA367bbBFSO4E74DSO27A | Draw (Germany vs. Luxembourg) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,151 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d |  middleoftheocean | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | nothelge69 | Germany | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 378d |  Kiko596 | Germany | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 378d | swisstony | Germany | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 378d |  1xe243b944lf03844nfj | Germany | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 378d | kosmichesky | Germany | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$21 +2.0% | 4 |
| 378d | cigarettes | Draw (Germany vs. Luxembourg) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,007 | +$214 +2.7% | 5 |
| 378d | cigarettes3 fills | Luxembourg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,644 | +$147 +1.0% | 4 |
| 378d | ssqs | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,480 | +$520 +3.4% | 5 |
| 378d | OriginalGeezer | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,855 | +$260 +3.3% | 5 |
| 378d | CrazyNine | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,747 | +$162 +3.4% | 5 |
| 378d |  Nouveau3 fills | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$205 +3.4% | 5 |
| 378d | DouYing2 fills | Germany | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $24,451 | +$766 +3.1% | 5 |
| 378d | cezarn132 | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $18,213 | +$738 +4.1% | 5 |
| 378d | krokozaur | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,753 | +$156 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | -AL-5 fills | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $16,604 | +$760 +4.6% | 5 |
| 378d |  krabich2 fills | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,436 | +$192 +4.3% | 5 |
| 378d | SpartanWar | Germany | BuyNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,356 | −$1,356 −100% | 14 |
| 378d | lucimuis | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $15,765 | +$657 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | FixCuanMagnet | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$833 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | aW7I5TJfgGp | Germany | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | −$105 −5.3% | — |
| 378d | Luisfero16 | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,189 | +$133 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | jtwyslljy | Germany | BuyNo5¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 14 |
| 378d | qwop1 | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$65 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d |  fri3dch1cken | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$46 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | HnbngNGN | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | affs20791 | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$500 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | ngergfgd | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$52 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | FHFDLHGH | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | 31518209141 | Luxembourg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,576 | +$41 +1.2% | 4 |
| 378d | Exotic-Produce | Luxembourg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,409 | +$91 +1.4% | 5 |
| 378d | Matelleti | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$50 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | swisstony3 fills | Luxembourg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,777 | +$295 +1.4% | 4 |
| 378d |  gamblingdebt | Luxembourg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,884 | +$126 +1.4% | 4 |
| 378d |  ShelbyCompanyLtd | Germany | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$54 +4.2% | 5 |
| 378d | wonwin | Draw (Germany vs. Luxembourg) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$39 +3.6% | 5 |
| 378d |  Simbaaaa | Luxembourg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | +$43 +1.4% | 4 |
| 379d | aW7I5TJfgGp | Germany | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 5 |
| 380d | AndrianoLamo | Germany | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 5 |
| 380d | qwertyasdfghjkl | Germany | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $27,826 | +$2,094 +7.5% | 5 |
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Friday, October 10, 2025 between Germany and Luxembourg.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Germany means the market gives it about 100%.