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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 100% | +14 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | 100% | +12 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barcelona | 0% | −30 pts | −72 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Real Madrid | 0% | −16 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arsenal | 100% | +9 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liverpool | 0% | −12 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Atlético Madrid | 100% | +28 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sporting CP | 0% | −10 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manchester City | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chelsea | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Newcastle | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Atalanta | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leverkusen | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Galatasaray | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bodø/Glimt | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191d | Thunderous-Wagon | Bayern München | SellYes>99¢ | $1,407 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | solymannj | Bayern München | SellYes>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 191d |  Lanilo | Bayern München | SellYes>99¢ | $1,176 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 191d |  STAYCALM | Real Madrid | SellNo>99¢ | $1,091 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | Francis051991 | Arsenal | SellYes>99¢ | $8,768 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | iPrediction | Sporting CP | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,135 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 191d | brody55 | Bayern München | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$306 +19% | 4 |
| 192d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | Real Madrid | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,216 | −$1,216 −100% | 4 |
| 192d |  ArturitoFilito | Bayern München | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,306 | −$1,306 −100% | 4 |
| 192d | neutralwave23 | Arsenal | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,709 | −$1,709 −100% | 4 |
| 192d | ndb1 | Bayern München | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $221,395 | +$39,070 +18% | 4 |
| 192d | ndb1 | Arsenal | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $14,877 | −$1,471 −9.9% | — |
| 192d |  1922 | Real Madrid | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$193 −19% | — |
| 192d | ndb1 | Arsenal | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $17,655 | +$1,962 +11% | 4 |
| 192d | ndb1 | Sporting CP | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,810 | +$646 +11% | 4 |
| 192d | Thunderous-Wagon | Bayern München | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$209 +17% | 4 |
| 192d | 0x68bb…7148 | Real Madrid | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$181 +18% | 4 |
| 192d | 0x1d26…4027 | Real Madrid | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,122 | −$1,122 −100% | 4 |
| 192d |  coinlaundry | Bayern München | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | −$288 −18% | — |
| 192d |  Kiko596 | Bayern München | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$243 +18% | 4 |
| 192d | SKARI129 | Real Madrid | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 4 |
| 192d | 0xe617…f251 | Real Madrid | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$334 +17% | 4 |
| 192d | 0xe617…f251 | Sporting CP | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$302 +10% | 4 |
| 192d | 08AF3 fills | Bayern München | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $10,106 | +$1,791 +18% | 4 |
| 192d | 08AF4 fills | Sporting CP | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,591 | +$1,263 +13% | 4 |
| 192d |  su281 | Bayern München | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,242 | +$749 +18% | 4 |
| 192d | chenmocm | Arsenal | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$89 +8.7% | 4 |
| 192d | 08AF3 fills | Arsenal | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $13,137 | +$1,615 +12% | 4 |
| 192d | coinlaundry | Bayern München | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$190 +16% | 4 |
| 192d |  luv4odumski | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,879 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 192d |  Kaicer | Atlético Madrid | SellYes>99¢ | $9,687 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 192d |  palmdo | Atlético Madrid | SellYes>99¢ | $1,591 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 192d |  norrisfan | Barcelona | SellNo>99¢ | $18,589 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | GRANOTA2 fills | Arsenal | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $6,555 | +$593 +9.1% | 4 |
| 192d | GRANOTA | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,550 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | enn | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,119 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | simbich | Atlético Madrid | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 192d | 08AF3 fills | Barcelona | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,041 | +$121 +2.0% | 4 |
| 192d | 08AF2 fills | Atlético Madrid | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 192d |  trusty9 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,535 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | canttouchit95 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,113 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 192d | Buy1Get1Free | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,884 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 192d | Buy1Get1Free | Liverpool | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,371 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 192d | Black-Eagle | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 192d |  noteskay | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 192d | noteskay | Liverpool | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$12 −1.2% | — |
| 193d | 1922 | Barcelona | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,147 | −$1,147 −100% | 4 |
| 193d | 1922 | Liverpool | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 4 |
| 193d | GRANOTA2 fills | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,162 | +$392 +9.4% | 4 |
| 193d | GRANOTA | Arsenal | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,955 | −$227 −12% | — |
| 193d | 1922 | Atlético Madrid | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $4,421 | −$4,421 −100% | 4 |
| 193d | 0xb08f…4ea1 | Bayern München | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$165 +16% | 4 |
| 193d |  ddalkkak | Barcelona | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | +$967 +41% | 4 |
| 193d | bla23 | Atlético Madrid | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$490 +41% | 4 |
| 193d | luv4odumski | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$174 +11% | 4 |
| 193d | cezarn132 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $18,735 | +$2,128 +11% | 4 |
| 193d | cezarn132 | Liverpool | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $22,981 | +$2,698 +12% | 4 |
| 193d | norrisfan2 fills | Atlético Madrid | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,384 | +$1,450 +43% | 4 |
| 193d | norrisfan5 fills | Barcelona | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $18,110 | +$7,637 +42% | 4 |
| 193d | luv4odumski | Arsenal | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$131 +8.7% | 4 |
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bayern München means the market gives it about 100%.