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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 96% | −1 pts | +9 pts | 95¢ · 97¢ (2¢) | — | in 127d |
| Lille | 2% | — | −3 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 127d |
| VfB Stuttgart | 33% | — | +5 pts | 32¢ · 34¢ (2¢) | — | in 127d |
| Fenerbahçe | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 127d |
| Liverpool | 82% | −1 pts | +15 pts | 80¢ · 83¢ (3¢) | — | in 127d |
| AEK Athens | 2% | — | −1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 127d |
| Slavia Prague | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 127d |
| Club Brugge | 13% | 0 pts | +8 pts | 13¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | — | in 127d |
| Galatasaray | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 127d |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 93% | — | +16 pts | 92¢ · 94¢ (2¢) | — | in 127d |
| Inter Milan | 20% | — | +3 pts | 19¢ · 21¢ (2¢) | $1.09K | in 127d |
| Manchester City | 56% | +1 pts | +5 pts | 55¢ · 57¢ (2¢) | — | in 127d |
| Atlético Madrid | 21% | — | −13 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 127d |
| Arsenal | 92% | −1 pts | +17 pts | 91¢ · 92¢ (1¢) | — | in 127d |
| Bodø/Glimt | 1% | 0 pts | −5 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 127d |
| Viking | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 127d |
| Villarreal | 6% | −5 pts | −9 pts | 4¢ · 8¢ (4¢) | $302 | in 127d |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 127d |
| LASK | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 127d |
| Borussia Dortmund | 20% | — | +1 pts | 18¢ · 22¢ (4¢) | — | in 127d |
| Lens | 3% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 127d |
| Napoli | 7% | — | +1 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | — | in 127d |
| Porto | 2% | 0 pts | −8 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 127d |
| Real Betis | 43% | — | +10 pts | 42¢ · 43¢ (1¢) | — | in 127d |
| Sabah | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 127d |
| Slovan Bratislava | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 127d |
| RB Leipzig | 6% | −1 pts | −9 pts | 3¢ · 9¢ (6¢) | — | in 127d |
| Como | 15% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 14¢ · 16¢ (2¢) | $72 | in 127d |
| Sporting CP | 14% | −1 pts | −20 pts | 13¢ · 14¢ (1¢) | $64.7 | in 127d |
| Barcelona | 81% | — | +1 pts | 80¢ · 81¢ (1¢) | $40.1 | in 127d |
| PSV Eindhoven | 5% | — | −21 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | — | in 127d |
| Feyenoord | 6% | — | −1 pts | 4¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 127d |
| Aston Villa | 50% | — | +12 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 127d |
| Bayern Munich | 57% | −1 pts | −6 pts | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | $17.7 | in 127d |
| Manchester United | 12% | — | −10 pts | 10¢ · 13¢ (3¢) | — | in 127d |
| Roma | 10% | +2 pts | — | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | — | in 127d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | milkteaboba | Sporting CP | BuyNo64¢ → 87¢ | $1,639 | +$582 +35% | 24 |
| 9d | milkteaboba | Real Madrid | BuyYes84¢ → 96¢ | $1,901 | +$260 +14% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for Real Madrid means the market gives it about 96%.