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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Athletic Club | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Athletic Club vs. Manchester United) | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540d | chenmocm | Manchester United | SellYes>99¢ | $3,588 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 540d | tpu-634 | Manchester United | SellYes>99¢ | $6,007 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 540d | solami01 | Athletic Club | SellNo>99¢ | $1,608 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 540d | Crins | Manchester United | SellYes>99¢ | $1,368 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 540d |  takeee | Manchester United | SellYes>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 540d | Kolr | Manchester United | SellYes>99¢ | $3,930 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 540d |  wowfarm | Manchester United | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,708 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 540d | FoldingNuts272 | Draw (Athletic Club vs. Manchester United) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,369 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 540d | Babyish-Sled | Manchester United | SellYes>99¢ | $1,579 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 540d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Athletic Club | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,999 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 540d | LlamaEnjoyer2 fills | Manchester United | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,606 | −$84 −1.1% | — |
| 540d | Marine | Manchester United | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 540d |  ShelbyCompanyLtd | Manchester United | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$18 +1.3% | 4 |
| 540d | chenmocm | Manchester United | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,549 | +$43 +1.2% | 4 |
| 540d |  Simbaaaa | Manchester United | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,249 | +$18 +0.3% | 4 |
| 540d | tpu-6343 fills | Manchester United | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,793 | +$220 +3.8% | 4 |
| 540d |  AleksandrKostyliev | Manchester United | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,255 | +$434 +5.3% | 4 |
| 540d | Kolr | Manchester United | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,737 | +$197 +5.3% | 4 |
| 540d | Jack34 | Manchester United | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | +$93 +5.3% | 4 |
| 540d | LlamaEnjoyer2 fills | Manchester United | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$1,000 +5.3% | 4 |
| 540d |  Bouilduin | Manchester United | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$158 +5.3% | 4 |
| 540d | Babyish-Sled | Manchester United | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$95 +6.4% | 5 |
| 540d | natalia42 | Athletic Club | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $6,227 | +$1,367 +22% | 4 |
| 540d |  KikitouTheGreat | Athletic Club | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 540d | Wanjawest2 fills | Athletic Club | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $9,985 | −$9,985 −100% | 14 |
| 540d | sportspold | Athletic Club | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 14 |
| 540d | JosephstAll-in | Athletic Club | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | +$1,201 +75% | 14 |
| 540d | FunBranch1 | Manchester United | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $12,500 | +$32,429 +259% | 14 |
| 540d | FunBranch1 | Athletic Club | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 14 |
| 540d |  Blunderton | Manchester United | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,592 | −$1,592 −100% | 13 |
| 540d |  ALMOST | Athletic Club | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,393 | −$1,393 −100% | 14 |
| 540d | Rgor11 | Athletic Club | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,199 | −$1,199 −100% | 14 |
| 540d | simplema | Athletic Club | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $79,422 | −$79,422 −100% | 14 |
| 540d | GoldenGate | Manchester United | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 12 |
| 540d | brokechimp | Athletic Club | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,928 | +$1,515 +79% | 14 |
| 540d | Worldpeace | Athletic Club | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,026 | −$1,026 −100% | 14 |
| 540d | Xephyr | Athletic Club | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | +$2,317 +82% | 14 |
| 540d | Olyndra | Athletic Club | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $18,700 | +$15,300 +82% | 14 |
| 540d | 0xFBA6aF103a629A538664136a418300146d2 | Manchester United | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,119 | −$1,119 −100% | 13 |
| 540d |  0010001000001100 | Manchester United | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 13 |
| 540d | t00more-095 | Athletic Club | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 12 |
| 540d | llllbb | Draw (Athletic Club vs. Manchester United) | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $6,997 | +$2,999 +43% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming UEL game, scheduled for May 1 at 3:00PM ET between Athletic Club and Manchester United.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Manchester United means the market gives it about 100%.