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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holloway – Decision | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Holloway – Submission | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Holloway – KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poirier – Decision | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poirier – Submission | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poirier – KO/TKO/DQ | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | +6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 461d | Ordon | Holloway – Decision | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,031 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 461d | Stol | Holloway – Decision | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 461d | leegunner | Poirier – Submission | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 461d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,930 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 461d | 0x89c914bbf4aa6dcc78541598bd8861e5f225953 | Draw | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,291 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 461d | P1kaso | Holloway – Submission | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,784 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 461d | leegunner | Poirier – Submission | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,479 | +$21 +0.9% | 4 |
Dorseytyws2 sharesThis is a market on predicting the method of victory for the UFC 318 main event bout between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Holloway – Decision means the market gives it about 100%.