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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | 57% | — | +8 pts | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | $39.5K | in 13h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 37% | +2 pts | −16 pts | 34¢ · 39¢ (5¢) | $1.19K | in 13h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 59% | — | +9 pts | 57¢ · 60¢ (3¢) | — | in 13h |
| Keita to win by KO/TKO? | 28% | +1 pts | −22 pts | 24¢ · 33¢ (9¢) | $246 | in 13h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 54% | −1 pts | +4 pts | 50¢ · 58¢ (8¢) | $33.7 | in 13h |
| Fight won by submission? | 9% | −19 pts | −41 pts | 6¢ · 12¢ (6¢) | $15.4 | in 13h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 30% | +1 pts | −21 pts | 27¢ · 32¢ (5¢) | $5.1 | in 13h |
| Pico to win by KO/TKO? | 25% | −2 pts | −26 pts | 20¢ · 29¢ (9¢) | — | in 13h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 84% | −1 pts | +34 pts | 79¢ · 88¢ (9¢) | — | in 13h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 43% | — | −8 pts | 38¢ · 47¢ (9¢) | — | in 13h |
| Fight won by decision? | 36% | −16 pts | −14 pts | 32¢ · 40¢ (8¢) | — | in 13h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 51% | — | +1 pts | 48¢ · 54¢ (6¢) | — | in 13h |
| Pico in Round 1 | 16% | −22 pts | −34 pts | 11¢ · 20¢ (9¢) | — | in 13h |
| Pico in Round 2 | 12% | — | −39 pts | 7¢ · 16¢ (9¢) | — | in 13h |
| Pico in Round 3 | 7% | −30 pts | −43 pts | 3¢ · 11¢ (8¢) | — | in 13h |
| Keita in Round 1 | 14% | −24 pts | −36 pts | 10¢ · 19¢ (9¢) | — | in 13h |
| Keita in Round 2 | 11% | −27 pts | −40 pts | 6¢ · 15¢ (9¢) | — | in 13h |
| Keita in Round 3 | 7% | −30 pts | −43 pts | 3¢ · 11¢ (8¢) | — | in 13h |
| Decision or Draw | 36% | −9 pts | −14 pts | 32¢ · 40¢ (8¢) | — | in 13h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Fuzzy-Wick-Resistance | Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | BuyAaron Pico58¢ → 57¢ | $1,056 | −$9 −0.9% | 14 |
| 4h | Raisuu | Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | BuyAaron Pico58¢ → 57¢ | $14,813 | −$128 −0.9% | 32 |
| 1d |  FeedTheBigBird | Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | BuyAaron Pico57¢ | $1,663 | +$15 +0.9% | 12 |
| 2d |  tizzles | Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | BuyAaron Pico56¢ → 57¢ | $1,182 | +$32 +2.7% | 8 |
| 2d | WYNNERBACC | Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | BuyAaron Pico55¢ → 57¢ | $1,417 | +$64 +4.5% | 9 |
| 3d | monkeymashingkeyboard | Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | BuyAaron Pico53¢ → 57¢ | $5,111 | +$434 +8.5% | 16 |
| 9d | beautyistruth | Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita | BuyAaron Pico52¢ → 57¢ | $1,000 | +$95 +9.5% | 6 |
FeedTheBigBird7,892 sharestizzles2,143 shares
esportsbetter123,820 shares
VeryLucky8882,054 sharesThis market will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 57¢ for Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita means the market gives it about 57%.