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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | 0% | −39 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +45 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McMillen to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +74 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Montes to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −8 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +58 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −39 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +49 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +64 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d |  ethanweng | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | SellTommy McMillen>99¢ | $3,247 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 97d |  alpheclabs | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,602 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | kkookkoo | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,544 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | looppau | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,002 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 97d | Eddd1x | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | SellTommy McMillen>99¢ | $3,392 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | kutsumiakia | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | SellTommy McMillen>99¢ | $2,593 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | tennischamp | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,902 | −$60 −1.0% | — |
| 97d |  sleepy-panda | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen>99¢ | $3,886 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 97d |  hd7772 fills | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen96¢ → 100¢ | $6,981 | +$324 +4.6% | 5 |
| 97d |  4751346 | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 5 |
| 97d | gaclfz3 fills | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen82¢ → 100¢ | $5,469 | +$1,197 +22% | 10 |
| 97d |  0xLoneStar | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen93¢ → 100¢ | $4,650 | +$350 +7.5% | 6 |
| 97d | Eddd1x | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen92¢ → 100¢ | $3,130 | +$266 +8.5% | 7 |
| 97d |  obamason | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,048 | −$1,048 −100% | 14 |
| 97d |  igot50k | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen80¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$312 +24% | 11 |
| 97d | uptime0724 | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen71¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$531 +41% | 14 |
| 97d | LudoPriclychenie | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,223 | −$1,223 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | Sassy-Bucket5 fills | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes35¢ → 0¢ | $36,204 | −$36,204 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | Wordy-Littleneck2 fills | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen66¢ → 100¢ | $37,325 | +$19,280 +52% | 14 |
| 97d | suntori | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,143 | −$1,143 −100% | 14 |
| 97d |  Rex416 | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | VanGen | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen66¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$805 +52% | 14 |
| 97d |  Kosherlocks | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen66¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$773 +52% | 14 |
| 97d | kkookkoo | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder48¢ → 0¢ | $2,403 | −$2,403 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | surfandturf | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes34¢ → 0¢ | $32,476 | −$32,476 −100% | 14 |
| 97d |  Nooserac | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,592 | −$2,592 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | Liverpool1 | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | Talvez10 | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen65¢ → 100¢ | $2,165 | +$1,166 +54% | 12 |
| 97d |  VeryLucky888 | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen64¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$717 +56% | 12 |
| 97d | riverskew | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen63¢ → 100¢ | $4,086 | +$2,400 +59% | 12 |
| 98d | Kosherlocks | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 99d | marketmesh | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen60¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,333 +67% | 9 |
| 99d | olddirtyfighter | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyTommy McMillen60¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$802 +67% | 9 |
| 100d | DEGENKAT | Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen | BuyAlberto Montes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
Zelenskys-suit3,260 sharesThis market will resolve to "Alberto Montes" if Alberto Montes is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tommy McMillen at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Alberto Montes vs. Tommy McMillen means the market gives it about 0%.