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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perez vs. Johnson | 100% | +61 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −62 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −52 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −57 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +13 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −72 pts | −70 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Johnson win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −51 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +42 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Perez win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +50 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271d | noobslayer44444 | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d |  WistfulHunger | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $1,330 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | SuperbowlorBust | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,345 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 272d | BDJL | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $6,244 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 272d | SuperbowlorBust | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,501 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 272d | SuperbowlorBust | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,501 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 272d |  XSRM | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 272d | SuperbowlorBust | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 272d | SuperbowlorBust | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,472 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 272d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 272d | Spry-Perception | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $15,124 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 272d | Self-Assured-Ordinary | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $6,397 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 272d | sportmaster2e | Perez vs. Johnson | SellPerez>99¢ | $12,488 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 272d | Spry-Perception2 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez91¢ → 100¢ | $3,707 | +$357 +9.6% | 7 |
| 272d | Self-Assured-Ordinary2 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez85¢ → 100¢ | $5,427 | +$941 +17% | 9 |
| 272d | 9sh8f | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez86¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$180 +16% | 9 |
| 272d | 0x3a61…b560 | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez85¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | +$313 +17% | 9 |
| 272d |  Nooserac2 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson64¢ → 0¢ | $9,051 | −$9,051 −100% | 14 |
| 272d | mudman882 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson64¢ → 0¢ | $7,333 | −$7,333 −100% | 14 |
| 272d | bigballerari | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson64¢ → 0¢ | $2,862 | −$2,862 −100% | 14 |
| 272d | Donghui | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson63¢ → 0¢ | $15,000 | −$15,000 −100% | 14 |
| 272d |  sleepy-panda7 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson63¢ → 0¢ | $23,310 | −$23,310 −100% | 14 |
| 272d | benwyatt3 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson62¢ → 0¢ | $67,807 | −$67,807 −100% | 14 |
| 272d | SammySledge | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez38¢ → 100¢ | $2,390 | +$3,899 +163% | 14 |
| 272d |  myjob | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson62¢ → 0¢ | $1,438 | −$1,438 −100% | 14 |
| 272d | 4qfrankie | Perez vs. Johnson | SellJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $9,150 | +$9,150 +100% | — |
| 272d | Dingwin2 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez40¢ → 100¢ | $3,970 | +$6,030 +152% | 12 |
| 272d | sportmaster2e | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez39¢ → 100¢ | $4,875 | +$7,625 +156% | 14 |
| 272d | mgnlv | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson62¢ → 0¢ | $1,087 | −$1,087 −100% | 14 |
| 272d | om777 | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 12 |
| 272d | BDJL2 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez40¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$3,750 +150% | 12 |
| 272d | bcda4 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $124,288 | −$124K −100% | 12 |
| 272d | YT-JuicySlots | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez40¢ → 100¢ | $3,278 | +$4,917 +150% | 12 |
| 272d | christianox | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $5,002 | −$5,002 −100% | 12 |
| 272d | MMKing | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $24,376 | −$24,376 −100% | 12 |
| 272d | Weebay | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez40¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,500 +150% | 12 |
| 272d | 55779911 | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez40¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$2,298 +150% | 12 |
| 272d | morpheus23 | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson59¢ → 0¢ | $1,855 | −$1,855 −100% | 12 |
| 272d | Rabihmoukarzel | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson59¢ → 0¢ | $1,317 | −$1,317 −100% | 12 |
| 272d | Momentumtrades | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyPerez41¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$2,237 +147% | 12 |
| 273d | saithama | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson63¢ → 0¢ | $2,199 | −$2,199 −100% | 9 |
| 274d | lowkissed | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | −$1,580 −100% | 9 |
| 274d | BrysonD1988 | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $3,050 | −$3,050 −100% | 9 |
| 274d | roon49 | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson62¢ → 0¢ | $1,860 | −$1,860 −100% | 6 |
| 275d | 4qfrankie3 fills | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson62¢ → 0¢ | $15,121 | −$15,121 −100% | 6 |
| 275d | Jugernout | Perez vs. Johnson | BuyJohnson61¢ → 0¢ | $3,098 | −$3,098 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Perez" if Alex Perez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Johnson at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Perez vs. Johnson means the market gives it about 100%.