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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pantoja vs. Van | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −4 pts | +14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Van win by KO/TKO? | 100% | −4 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pantoja win by KO/TKO? | 0% | +1 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −18 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | +1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −7 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −93 pts | −87 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −23 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +28 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −7 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d | agbegginer | Van win by KO/TKO? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,047 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | Username...... | Van win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | lonzoball | Pantoja vs. Van | SellVan>99¢ | $1,043 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | 6yuyurrg3 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | SellVan85¢ → 100¢ | $29,974 | −$5,161 −17% | — |
| 321d | endxd | Pantoja vs. Van | SellVan>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | SellVan>99¢ | $4,445 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 321d | Username...... | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,334 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | xt6uyuiguic | Pantoja vs. Van | SellVan99¢ → 100¢ | $3,690 | −$37 −1.0% | — |
| 321d | MelkyWrld8 | Pantoja vs. Van | SellVan99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 321d | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,934 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 321d | Van win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,420 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | SellVan99¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | −$34 −1.0% | — | |
| 321d | rwo | O/U 3.5 Rounds | BuyUnder97¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$47 +3.5% | 4 |
| 321d | 6yuyurrg | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan98¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | +$55 +2.5% | 4 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan35¢ → 100¢ | $10,488 | +$19,512 +186% | 4 | |
| 321d | brisk | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | HypeManAlex | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $1,734 | −$1,734 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | youandme942 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $4,126 | −$4,126 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $13,822 | −$13,822 −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | noloanplz | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $4,026 | −$4,026 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | SellPantoja66¢ → 0¢ | $6,092 | +$6,092 +100% | — | |
| 321d | xt6uyuiguic | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan33¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$2,497 +203% | 4 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $2,596 | −$2,596 −100% | 4 | |
| 321d | a4apter | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | −$1,035 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | Anointed-Connect3 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan34¢ → 100¢ | $15,374 | +$30,184 +196% | 14 |
| 321d | Pantoja win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,275 | −$1,275 −100% | 4 | |
| 321d | latinalover | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 4 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | JigglyPuff | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $2,533 | −$2,533 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $1,419 | −$1,419 −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | 4-seas14 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan33¢ → 100¢ | $53,374 | +$106K +199% | 6 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $199,856 | −$200K −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | king31 | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $5,075 | −$5,075 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | WYNNERBACC2 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan34¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$5,426 +194% | 14 |
| 321d | meill | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $4,766 | −$4,766 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | TheCheatCode | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $2,680 | −$2,680 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | piastri | Pantoja vs. Van | SellPantoja66¢ → 0¢ | $1,263 | +$1,263 +100% | — |
| 321d | arntion2 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $2,505 | −$2,505 −100% | 12 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja66¢ → 0¢ | $5,382 | −$5,382 −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | igetlitty | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja66¢ → 0¢ | $4,300 | −$4,300 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Blaedyn | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja66¢ → 0¢ | $1,175 | −$1,175 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | SellPantoja65¢ → 0¢ | $2,655 | +$2,655 +100% | — | |
| 321d | saithama | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja66¢ → 0¢ | $2,700 | −$2,700 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | tom101 | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | −$1,109 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | ckw2 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan33¢ → 100¢ | $7,001 | +$14,213 +203% | 14 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | 4qfrankie2 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan33¢ → 100¢ | $2,482 | +$5,039 +203% | 14 |
| 321d | jtwyslljy | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan33¢ → 100¢ | $13,200 | +$26,800 +203% | 14 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $64,513 | −$64,513 −100% | 12 | |
| 321d | Gooners43 | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Sharpyyy4 fills | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyVan32¢ → 100¢ | $13,898 | +$28,974 +208% | 6 |
| 321d | askilika | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $6,800 | −$6,800 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $2,563 | −$2,563 −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 | |
| 321d | Comfortable-ReactionNew account | Pantoja vs. Van | SellPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $1,081 | +$1,081 +100% | — |
| 321d | oolyisla909 | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $24,989 | −$24,989 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | C63AMG | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $1,190 | −$1,190 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | 0x6352…6726 | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $1,920 | −$1,920 −100% | 14 |
| 321d | Gooners43 | Pantoja vs. Van | SellPantoja67¢ → 0¢ | $1,443 | +$1,443 +100% | — |
| 321d | 0x5375…aeea | Pantoja vs. Van | BuyPantoja68¢ → 0¢ | $2,479 | −$2,479 −100% | 14 |
This market will resolve to "Pantoja" if Alexandre Pantoja is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Van" if Joshua Van is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pantoja vs. Van means the market gives it about 0%.