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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | 100% | +35 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −65 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ardelean to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −38 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −38 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −63 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Viana to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −38 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +60 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +26 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | arlanta | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | SellAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $47,506 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | bondfolio | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | SellAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $3,154 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | harizma | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | SellAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $2,272 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | S-Works | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $247,470 | +$248 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  Midrunner | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $1,836 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 160d |  sleepy-panda3 fills | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $129,870 | +$130 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | qscbn | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | SellAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $1,557 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 160d |  obamason2 fills | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $204,234 | +$204 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | Rock.San2 fills | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean>99¢ | $41,958 | +$42 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d | takeormake | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean98¢ → 100¢ | $3,135 | +$49 +1.6% | 5 |
| 160d |  47513462 fills | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean91¢ → 100¢ | $3,639 | +$361 +9.9% | 7 |
| 160d | harizma | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean88¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$274 +14% | 8 |
| 160d |  Frowner | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | SellAlice Ardelean92¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$94 −8.7% | — |
| 160d | 6yuyurrg2 fills | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean85¢ → 100¢ | $4,423 | +$750 +17% | 9 |
| 160d |  0xLoneStar | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean86¢ → 100¢ | $2,580 | +$420 +16% | 9 |
| 160d | bondfolio | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean65¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$760 +54% | 14 |
| 160d | Sassy-Bucket12 fills | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean64¢ → 100¢ | $411,188 | +$231K +56% | 12 |
| 160d | arlanta2 fills | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean64¢ → 100¢ | $26,513 | +$15,089 +57% | 12 |
| 160d | 051432 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder38¢ → 100¢ | $19,779 | +$31,600 +160% | 12 |
| 160d | ox1star84 | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean64¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$565 +56% | 12 |
| 160d |  beet420 | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyPolyana Viana37¢ → 0¢ | $3,893 | −$3,893 −100% | 12 |
| 160d |  Painfulvoid | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyPolyana Viana35¢ → 0¢ | $1,643 | −$1,643 −100% | 12 |
| 160d | Bite-Sized-Strawberry | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean64¢ → 100¢ | $2,736 | +$1,539 +56% | 12 |
| 160d | qscbn | Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana | BuyAlice Ardelean64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 12 |
sunflowaa13,500 shares
stillachance11,000 sharesbeet42010,631 shares
andrewtate698,525 shares
berbisminsk7,800 shares
HeyItsOracle07,800 sharesThis market will resolve to "Alice Ardelean" if Alice Ardelean is officially declared the winner of the fight against Polyana Viana at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Polyana Viana" if Polyana Viana is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana means the market gives it about 100%.