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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly | 100% | +73 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Aly to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −62 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lorenz to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +40 pts | +40 pts | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −40 pts | −40 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +40 pts | +40 pts | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −40 pts | −40 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d | Yawning-Chicken2 fills | Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly | BuyMahamed Aly76¢ → 0¢ | $5,909 | −$5,909 −100% | 12 |
| 66d |  sleepy-panda | Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly | BuyMahamed Aly76¢ → 0¢ | $2,660 | −$2,660 −100% | 12 |
| 66d |  Kosherlocks2 fills | Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly | BuyMahamed Aly76¢ → 0¢ | $7,409 | −$7,409 −100% | 12 |
| 74d | 0x9512 | Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly | BuyMahamed Aly95¢ → 0¢ | $6,994 | −$6,994 −100% | 4 |
Kosherlocks9,801 shares
E33xing1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Alik Lorenz" if Alik Lorenz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mahamed Aly" if Mahamed Aly is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Alik Lorenz vs. Mahamed Aly means the market gives it about 100%.