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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | 100% | +68 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +66 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +84 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Baraniewski to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −51 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −70 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baraniewski in Round 1 | 0% | −46 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Menifield to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | +80 pts | +47 pts | 91¢ · 100¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +79 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Menifield in Round 3 | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Menifield in Round 2 | 0% | −6 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baraniewski in Round 3 | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baraniewski in Round 2 | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −60 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −68 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Menifield in Round 1 | 0% | −6 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | — | +70 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34d | 0x1507…e175 | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellAlonzo Menifield>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 34d |  0xwise | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellAlonzo Menifield>99¢ | $11,406 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | Dimpled-Hay | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellAlonzo Menifield>99¢ | $1,261 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | 0xNuttawut | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellAlonzo Menifield>99¢ | $6,229 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | Zenhack | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,352 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | omnibus-076daa | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAlonzo Menifield42¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,497 +139% | 14 |
| 34d | harizma | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski76¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 12 |
| 34d | Black-Bondsman | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski80¢ → 0¢ | $1,141 | +$1,141 +100% | — |
| 34d | 0xwise3 fills | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAlonzo Menifield39¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$6,917 +154% | 14 |
| 34d | GEAEW | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAlonzo Menifield40¢ → 100¢ | $3,783 | +$5,737 +152% | 14 |
| 34d | takeormake3 fills | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski58¢ → 0¢ | $5,090 | −$5,090 −100% | 14 |
| 34d | aviato | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,540 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 34d | PeanutButterAndJelly | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski86¢ → 0¢ | $4,441 | −$4,441 −100% | 9 |
| 34d | Sovietsky2572 fills | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski81¢ → 0¢ | $2,457 | −$2,457 −100% | 10 |
| 34d |  47513462 fills | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski74¢ → 0¢ | $3,695 | −$3,695 −100% | 13 |
| 34d |  Flipadelphia | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAlonzo Menifield27¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | +$5,475 +270% | 14 |
| 34d | Clawbangers | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 9 |
| 34d | kkookkoo | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder66¢ → 0¢ | $13,200 | −$13,200 −100% | 14 |
| 34d |  3648393489047 | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski74¢ → 0¢ | $22,200 | −$22,200 −100% | 13 |
| 34d | Exalted-Evocation | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski74¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 13 |
| 34d | Madeira99 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver68¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$492 +47% | 14 |
| 34d | 358089324202 fills | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski74¢ → 0¢ | $5,733 | −$5,733 −100% | 13 |
| 34d | Warm-Faucet | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 34d | gmpm23 fills | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski72¢ → 0¢ | $25,533 | −$25,533 −100% | 13 |
| 34d |  PlatinumGoofy | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski72¢ → 0¢ | $10,150 | −$10,150 −100% | 13 |
| 34d | THEdirkdiggler | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski70¢ → 0¢ | $2,586 | −$2,586 −100% | 14 |
| 35d | 0xae6e…5c65 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver67¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$594 +49% | 12 |
| 35d | ic4cream | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAlonzo Menifield31¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$2,573 +223% | 9 |
| 36d | 0x248e…0b3b | Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski70¢ → 0¢ | $13,000 | −$13,000 −100% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Alonzo Menifield" if Alonzo Menifield is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iwo Baraniewski at UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2, scheduled for September 19, 2026. It will resolve to "Iwo Baraniewski" if Iwo Baraniewski is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski means the market gives it about 100%.