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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | 100% | +42 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −59 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −61 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +60 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamaka III to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −29 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fili to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +63 pts | +48 pts | 95¢ · >99¢ (5¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −16 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −68 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fili in Round 2 | 100% | +73 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +26 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −57 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −56 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +66 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −18 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fili in Round 1 | 0% | +19 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Fili in Round 3 | 0% | +22 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Kamaka III in Round 1 | 0% | +22 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Kamaka III in Round 2 | 0% | −25 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamaka III in Round 3 | 0% | +21 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d |  digitalnomad85 | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | SellAndre Fili>99¢ | $2,608 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | 0xNuttawut | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | SellAndre Fili>99¢ | $3,012 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | madkkee | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | SellAndre Fili>99¢ | $7,467 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Madeira99 | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | SellAndre Fili>99¢ | $3,580 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 13d |  thebluegem | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyAndre Fili99¢ → 100¢ | $3,218 | +$33 +1.0% | 4 |
| 13d | ferrariChampions2026 | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyAndre Fili56¢ → 100¢ | $7,045 | +$5,535 +79% | 14 |
| 13d | GEAEW | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyKai Kamaka III45¢ → 0¢ | $8,201 | −$8,201 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Substantial-Service | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyKai Kamaka III46¢ → 0¢ | $45,469 | −$45,469 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | madkkee | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyAndre Fili55¢ → 100¢ | $4,111 | +$3,364 +82% | 14 |
| 13d | Madeira99 | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyAndre Fili55¢ → 100¢ | $1,971 | +$1,613 +82% | 14 |
| 13d | 0xNuttawut | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyAndre Fili55¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$1,350 +82% | 14 |
| 13d |  binkybarnes55 | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyAndre Fili55¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$999 +82% | 14 |
| 14d | dv-pm | Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III | BuyAndre Fili58¢ → 100¢ | $6,125 | +$4,436 +72% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Andre Fili" if Andre Fili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kai Kamaka III at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Kai Kamaka III" if Kai Kamaka III is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III means the market gives it about 100%.