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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacheco vs. Luna | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +8 pts | −6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luna to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −5 pts | +17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | +4 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pacheco to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +3 pts | −23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | −11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +1 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | laoli668 | Pacheco vs. Luna | SellLuna>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | PolyChrome | Pacheco vs. Luna | SellLuna>99¢ | $3,014 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  0xLoneStar | Pacheco vs. Luna | SellLuna>99¢ | $8,062 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 237d | Massimo24 | Pacheco vs. Luna | SellLuna>99¢ | $4,408 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 237d |  MiLive | Pacheco vs. Luna | BuyLuna>99¢ | $4,141 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 237d | laoli668 | Pacheco vs. Luna | BuyLuna>99¢ | $2,823 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 237d | Hospitable-Sneeze | Pacheco vs. Luna | SellLuna97¢ → 100¢ | $1,685 | −$52 −3.1% | — |
| 237d | PolyChrome | Pacheco vs. Luna | BuyLuna95¢ → 100¢ | $2,864 | +$154 +5.4% | 6 |
| 237d |  sharpmonkey | Pacheco vs. Luna | BuyLuna96¢ → 100¢ | $2,990 | +$125 +4.2% | 5 |
| 237d | Hospitable-Sneeze | Pacheco vs. Luna | BuyLuna89¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | +$191 +12% | 8 |
| 237d | Massimo24 | Pacheco vs. Luna | BuyLuna91¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$413 +10% | 7 |
| 237d | GamblingOdyssey | Pacheco vs. Luna | BuyLuna86¢ → 100¢ | $4,739 | +$771 +16% | 9 |
| 238d | morpheus23 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver47¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | +$3,445 +113% | 12 |
| 238d | c4c4 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver47¢ → 100¢ | $5,395 | +$6,083 +113% | 9 |
| 238d |  Painfulvoid4 fills | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver47¢ → 100¢ | $30,494 | +$34,386 +113% | 9 |
| 238d |  DefNotJonasTheWolf2 fills | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver47¢ → 100¢ | $6,034 | +$6,804 +113% | 9 |
sunflowaa1,916 sharesThis market will resolve to "Pacheco" if Angel Pacheco is officially declared the winner of the fight against Santiago Luna at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Luna" if Santiago Luna is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Pacheco vs. Luna means the market gives it about 0%.