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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +83 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Trocoli vs. Abdul-Malik | 0% | −9 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −13 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −68 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trocoli win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −9 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Abdul-Malik win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −63 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −70 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −36 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −19 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d | ox1star84 | Trocoli vs. Abdul-Malik | SellAbdul-Malik>99¢ | $6,010 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Abdul-Malik win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,113 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Trocoli win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,381 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,381 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,381 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | aviato | Abdul-Malik win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,381 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,516 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | aviato | Fight won by submission? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,083 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,219 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,028 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 321d |  Cracotte | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellUnder91¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | −$141 −10% | — |
| 321d | Class56 | Trocoli vs. Abdul-Malik | BuyAbdul-Malik92¢ → 100¢ | $4,344 | +$378 +8.7% | 7 |
| 321d | asdasdasdaddddddd | Trocoli vs. Abdul-Malik | BuyAbdul-Malik92¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$89 +8.7% | 7 |
| 321d |  WinstonUchiha | Trocoli vs. Abdul-Malik | BuyAbdul-Malik93¢ → 100¢ | $4,098 | +$327 +8.0% | 6 |
| 321d | CanadianGoose3 fills | Trocoli vs. Abdul-Malik | BuyAbdul-Malik91¢ → 100¢ | $7,978 | +$767 +9.6% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Trocoli" if Antonio Trocoli is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Abdul-Malik" if Mansur Abdul-Malik is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fight won by submission? means the market gives it about 100%.