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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza | 0% | −25 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −66 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −58 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −54 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +42 pts | +41 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Souza to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +53 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Carnelossi to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −81 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −48 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139d | nbafan88 | Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza | SellKetlen Souza>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 139d |  ethanweng | Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza | SellKetlen Souza>99¢ | $1,751 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 139d | Warm-Faucet | Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza | SellKetlen Souza>99¢ | $1,124 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 139d | Yawning-Chicken3 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,902 | +$498 +13% | 7 |
| 139d | surfandturf | Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza | BuyKetlen Souza76¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | +$551 +32% | 10 |
| 139d | Forecastication2 | Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza | BuyAriane Carnelossi25¢ → 0¢ | $2,077 | −$2,077 −100% | 12 |
| 140d | Bite-Sized-Strawberry | Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza | BuyKetlen Souza75¢ → 100¢ | $2,467 | +$822 +33% | 11 |
| 140d | Talvez10 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver68¢ → 0¢ | $7,650 | −$7,650 −100% | 9 |
KnureKnume600 sharesThis market will resolve to "Ariane Carnelossi" if Ariane Carnelossi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Ketlen Souza" if Ketlen Souza is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza means the market gives it about 0%.