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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | 100% | +29 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +31 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −60 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −19 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +77 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Johnson to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Almabayev to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +18 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +20 pts | +51 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d | sigamugacaca | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev>99¢ | $1,204 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | Warm-Faucet | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev>99¢ | $4,069 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | Speedy-Detour-GodNew account | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev95¢ → 100¢ | $4,834 | −$242 −5.0% | — |
| 118d | nanaes | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  alpheclabs | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,374 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | tennischamp | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev>99¢ | $5,392 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | PolyChrome | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev>99¢ | $3,714 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | alpheclabs | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev>99¢ | $1,956 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  wowfarm | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev>99¢ | $1,207 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 118d |  Midrunner | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 118d | qweqd | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev95¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | −$78 −5.3% | — |
| 118d |  4751346 | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev96¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$100 +4.2% | 5 |
| 118d |  Frowner | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | SellAsu Almabayev93¢ → 100¢ | $2,739 | −$206 −7.5% | — |
| 118d |  igot50k | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev94¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | +$81 +6.4% | 6 |
| 118d | PolyChrome | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$129 +6.4% | 6 |
| 118d | curie | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev85¢ → 100¢ | $32,173 | +$5,678 +18% | 8 |
| 118d | rabbitfoot1 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder34¢ → 0¢ | $1,044 | −$1,044 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | Frowner | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$104 +9.4% | 6 |
| 118d | Sassy-Bucket6 fills | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyCharles Johnson26¢ → 0¢ | $36,391 | −$36,391 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | rabbitfoot1 | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev75¢ → 100¢ | $7,077 | +$2,359 +33% | 11 |
| 118d | Speedy-Detour-GodNew account | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev75¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$1,100 +33% | 18 |
| 118d | tennischamp | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev75¢ → 100¢ | $4,048 | +$1,349 +33% | 11 |
| 118d | kkookkoo | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder40¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | nanaes | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 11 |
| 118d | olddirtyfighter | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev74¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$429 +35% | 11 |
| 118d | Warm-Faucet | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev74¢ → 100¢ | $3,010 | +$1,058 +35% | 11 |
| 118d | christianox | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyCharles Johnson27¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 12 |
| 118d | isp | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$900 +43% | 12 |
| 118d |  elmcap2 | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev73¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$389 +37% | 11 |
| 118d | PendulumExchange | Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson | BuyAsu Almabayev72¢ → 100¢ | $34,625 | +$13,465 +39% | 11 |
GeepaP42,892 sharesThis market will resolve to "Asu Almabayev" if Asu Almabayev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Johnson at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres, scheduled for June 27, 2026. It will resolve to "Charles Johnson" if Charles Johnson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson means the market gives it about 100%.