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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lane to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baraniewski to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d | Momentumtrades | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $12,675 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | HypeManAlex | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | Yourdarkside99 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,323 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d |  copefan | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $2,351 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 216d |  moa2 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,239 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | 0x1507…e175 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | PrvMx | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $4,499 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | Hospitable-Sneeze | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski99¢ → 100¢ | $1,763 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 216d |  GeepaP | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski99¢ → 100¢ | $5,426 | +$59 +1.1% | 4 |
| 216d |  verywell4 fills | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski86¢ → 100¢ | $12,601 | +$2,126 +17% | 8 |
| 216d | yupiiiiiiiii | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski86¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$195 +16% | 8 |
| 216d | Momentumtrades | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski86¢ → 100¢ | $10,905 | +$1,775 +16% | 8 |
| 216d | Hospitable-Sneeze | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski86¢ → 100¢ | $1,531 | +$249 +16% | 8 |
| 216d | copefan | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski85¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$353 +18% | 8 |
| 216d | PrvMx | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski85¢ → 100¢ | $3,843 | +$660 +17% | 8 |
| 216d | moa2 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski85¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$186 +18% | 8 |
| 216d | Harmful-Wood | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAusten Lane15¢ → 0¢ | $3,704 | −$3,704 −100% | 12 |
| 216d | Ghost73636 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski84¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$353 −19% | — |
| 216d | Ghost73636 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski86¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$316 +16% | 8 |
| 216d | cadesportsguy | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAusten Lane14¢ → 0¢ | $1,146 | −$1,146 −100% | 12 |
| 216d |  DefNotJonasTheWolf3 fills | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAusten Lane14¢ → 0¢ | $4,094 | −$4,094 −100% | 12 |
| 216d | CanadianGoose | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski88¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$630 +14% | 7 |
| 216d | LYnetLY | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAusten Lane14¢ → 0¢ | $5,303 | −$5,303 −100% | 12 |
| 216d | Uncommon-Attribute | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyAusten Lane14¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 12 |
| 216d | Yourdarkside99 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski86¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$185 +16% | 8 |
| 217d | Portly-Derivation2 fills | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski85¢ → 100¢ | $3,675 | +$655 +18% | 7 |
| 220d |  doudge01 | Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski84¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$209 +19% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Austen Lane" if Austen Lane is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iwo Baraniewski at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Iwo Baraniewski" if Iwo Baraniewski is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski means the market gives it about 0%.