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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 97% | +23 pts | +47 pts | 95¢ · 100¢ (5¢) | $16.5K | in 10h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | −20 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | $4.19K | in 10h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 51% | +39 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | $2.48K | in 10h |
| Vagaev in Round 1 | 51% | +14 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | $2.39K | in 10h |
| Fight won by submission? | 51% | +24 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | $1.6K | in 10h |
| Malkoun to win by KO/TKO? | 51% | +38 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | $1.21K | in 10h |
| Malkoun in Round 1 | 48% | +41 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | $1.2K | in 10h |
| Malkoun in Round 3 | 50% | +13 pts | — | — · 100¢ | $182 | in 10h |
| Vagaev to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +22 pts | — | — · 100¢ | $87.5 | in 10h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | +29 pts | — | — · 100¢ | $76.9 | in 10h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | +5 pts | — | — · 100¢ | $20 | in 10h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 76% | −17 pts | +26 pts | 51¢ · 100¢ (49¢) | — | in 10h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 76% | +3 pts | +26 pts | 51¢ · 100¢ (49¢) | — | in 10h |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | −19 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 10h |
| Vagaev in Round 2 | 50% | +13 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 10h |
| Vagaev in Round 3 | 50% | +13 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 10h |
| Malkoun in Round 2 | 47% | +10 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | in 10h |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | −1 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 10h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | Bite-Sized-Strawberry | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $3,769 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 1h | evanng | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $2,800 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1h | FKMY | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $6,097 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 2h |  BeerBets2 fills | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $5,092 | −$17 −0.3% | — |
| 2h | Djnjk | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2h | harizma | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $4,012 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 2h |  gys-bot | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2h |  yungtrappa | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $2,717 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 2h | Hazzza | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $1,665 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2h | masterkopeek | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $1,677 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2h | T0th3m00n | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $2,002 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2h | 0x1507…e175 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev>99¢ | $2,529 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 2h | Excentrico | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev90¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$117 +12% | 7 |
| 2h |  billy578 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SellAbubakar Vagaev63¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$602 −59% | — |
| 2h | omnibus-076daa2 fills | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev61¢ → 100¢ | $7,366 | +$4,676 +63% | 10 |
| 2h | ferrariChampions20262 fills | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyJacob Malkoun38¢ → 0¢ | $5,726 | −$5,726 −100% | 13 |
| 2h | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev68¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$951 +48% | 12 |
| 3h | ferrariChampions2026 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev60¢ → 100¢ | $8,450 | +$5,633 +67% | 14 |
| 3h |  esportsbetter1 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev60¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$4,000 +67% | 13 |
| 3h |  OtecBednosti | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 12 |
| 3h | Hazzza | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$667 +67% | 12 |
| 3h |  Nooserac | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver73¢ → 97¢ | $11,280 | +$3,755 +33% | 29 |
| 3h | n.jordanov | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyJacob Malkoun41¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 3h | UpTheBlues3 fills | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyJacob Malkoun41¢ → 0¢ | $9,491 | −$9,491 −100% | 11 |
| 3h | ic4cream | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyJacob Malkoun41¢ → 0¢ | $1,298 | −$1,298 −100% | 12 |
| 3h | Sassy-Bucket2 fills | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev59¢ → 100¢ | $80,621 | +$56,025 +69% | 27 |
| 6h | acorp | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyAbubakar Vagaev59¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$2,232 +69% | 13 |
| 1d | ferdinand22 fills | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyJacob Malkoun41¢ → 0¢ | $3,478 | −$3,478 −100% | 10 |
| 1d |  nigiri99 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BuyJacob Malkoun41¢ → 0¢ | $1,025 | −$1,025 −100% | 9 |
Nooserac15,452 shares
VeryLucky888628 shares
orbitalcoins249 sharesThis market will resolve to "Abubakar Vagaev" if Abubakar Vagaev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Jacob Malkoun" if Jacob Malkoun is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 97¢ for O/U 2.5 Rounds means the market gives it about 97%.